Vasco DA Gamavs
Palmeiras
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 3/12/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Vasco DA Gama are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Palmeiras are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Palmeiras hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the Serie A, while Palmeiras holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
62.7%
Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20