GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 3/12/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Vasco DA Gama are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Palmeiras are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Palmeiras hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the Serie A, while Palmeiras holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Palmeiras

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

62.7%

Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vasco DA GamaLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PalmeirasWWWDW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Vasco DA GamaPalmeiras
34.8Attack58.0
48.5Defence72.5
33.3Form69.6
41.7Power67.7
0.57xG1.77
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