GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Vasco DA Gama are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Olimpia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Olimpia hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (60.2 v 68.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vasco DA Gama

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

14.9%

Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vasco DA GamaDWDWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
OlimpiaLWLLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Vasco DA GamaOlimpia
54.2Attack52.4
66.7Defence71.4
58.3Form76.2
60.2Power68.1
1.08xG1.00
View match centre →