GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 7/25/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Vasco DA Gama are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mirassol are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.5 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Serie A, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vasco DA Gama

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

14.8%

Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vasco DA GamaDLLWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
MirassolWLLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vasco DA GamaMirassol
36.5Attack38.1
50.8Defence52.4
34.9Form36.5
43.5Power45.3
1.11xG1.03
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