Vasco DA GamavsBahia

Vasco DA Gama are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bahia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bahia hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 53.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Serie A, while Bahia holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.