Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Újpest II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vasas II are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Újpest II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Újpest II hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the NB III - Southeast, while Újpest II holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Újpest II
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Újpest II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00