Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stocksund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vasalund are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Stocksund are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Stocksund hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Stocksund holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stocksund
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Stocksund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40