Varzimvs
AD Marco 09
SCHEDULEDPortugal · Liga 3 · 8/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Varzim are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AD Marco 09 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.9 against 46.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.3% in the Liga 3, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
25.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60