GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 3/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Varketili · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Varketili are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Margveti 2006 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Varketili hold a 44.5-point power-rating edge (82.2 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.6% in the Liga 3, while Varketili holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Varketili

Probability

90.6%

Model confidence

90.6%

Varketili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VarketiliWLDDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Margveti 2006LDWDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VarketiliMargveti 2006
88.2Attack33.3
82.4Defence37.3
84.3Form35.3
82.2Power37.6
3.79xG0.44
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