GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 4/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Varketili · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Varketili are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Varketili hold a 37.1-point power-rating edge (82.2 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.5% in the Liga 3, while Varketili holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Varketili

Probability

80.5%

Model confidence

80.5%

Varketili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VarketiliWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lokomotivi TbilisiDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
VarketiliLokomotivi Tbilisi
88.2Attack31.4
82.4Defence56.9
84.3Form39.2
82.2Power45.0
2.56xG0.42
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