Varketilivs
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 4/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varketili · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Varketili are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Varketili hold a 37.1-point power-rating edge (82.2 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.5% in the Liga 3, while Varketili holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Varketili
Probability
80.5%
Model confidence
80.5%
Varketili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20