GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Varbergs BoIS FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Varbergs BoIS FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ostersunds FK are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 60.8 against 59.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Superettan, while Varbergs BoIS FC holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Varbergs BoIS FC

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

12.9%

Varbergs BoIS FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Varbergs BoIS FCWWLWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ostersunds FKDLLWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Varbergs BoIS FCOstersunds FK
63.0Attack51.9
55.6Defence61.1
61.1Form59.3
60.8Power59.7
1.58xG1.26
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