Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vaprus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vaprus are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Laagri are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.7 against 43.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Meistriliiga, while Vaprus holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vaprus
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Vaprus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80