VaprusvsKuressaare

Vaprus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kuressaare are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vaprus hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Meistriliiga, while Vaprus holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.