GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vaprus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Vaprus are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Flora Tallinn are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora Tallinn hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 30.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Vaprus holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vaprus

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Vaprus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VaprusLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Flora TallinnWWWDW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VaprusFlora Tallinn
16.7Attack44.4
41.7Defence14.8
0.0Form25.9
23.7Power30.4
2.28xG1.45
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