GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/18/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Vancouver Whitecaps are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sporting Kansas City are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver Whitecaps hold a 40.9-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.7% in the Major League Soccer, while Vancouver Whitecaps holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver Whitecaps

Probability

92.7%

Model confidence

92.7%

Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vancouver WhitecapsWWLWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting Kansas CityLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Vancouver WhitecapsSporting Kansas City
74.5Attack31.6
66.7Defence15.8
66.7Form24.6
68.4Power27.5
4.49xG0.52
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