Vancouver Whitecapsvs
Portland Timbers
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/5/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Vancouver Whitecaps are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver Whitecaps hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.5% in the Major League Soccer, while Vancouver Whitecaps holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
73.5%
Model confidence
73.5%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40