GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tacoma Defiance · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Whitecaps II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Tacoma Defiance are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tacoma Defiance hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while Tacoma Defiance holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tacoma Defiance

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Tacoma Defiance has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Whitecaps IILLDLW

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Tacoma DefianceLDWLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Whitecaps IITacoma Defiance
42.0Attack45.5
23.2Defence51.5
23.2Form47.0
32.5Power49.6
1.27xG2.06
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