Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Van · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Van are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hayq are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Van hold a 37.7-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Van holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Van
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
10.0%
Van has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00