GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 8/3/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Highconfidence

Valur Reykjavik are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Stjarnan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Valur Reykjavik hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Valur Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valur Reykjavik

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Valur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Valur ReykjavikDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
StjarnanLLWLD

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Valur ReykjavikStjarnan
57.4Attack61.1
33.3Defence20.4
40.7Form38.9
45.3Power42.3
3.06xG2.29
View match centre →