Valur Reykjavikvs
Stjarnan
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 8/3/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Valur Reykjavik are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Stjarnan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Valur Reykjavik hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Valur Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valur Reykjavik
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Valur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60