GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 8/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Valur Reykjavik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while KA Akureyri are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Valur Reykjavik hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.0% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Valur Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valur Reykjavik

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

8.0%

Valur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Valur ReykjavikWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KA AkureyriLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Valur ReykjavikKA Akureyri
54.9Attack47.1
31.4Defence31.4
37.3Form29.4
42.8Power38.7
2.54xG1.80
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