Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valtti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Valtti are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while EPS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Valtti hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the Suomen Cup, while Valtti holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valtti
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
8.6%
Valtti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20