GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 4/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valmiera / BSS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Valmiera / BSS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Smiltene are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Valmiera / BSS hold a 55.1-point power-rating edge (81.6 v 26.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.2% in the 1. Liga, while Valmiera / BSS holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valmiera / BSS

Probability

92.2%

Model confidence

92.2%

Valmiera / BSS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Valmiera / BSSWWLWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SmilteneDDLDD

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Valmiera / BSSSmiltene
91.7Attack39.6
70.8Defence10.4
85.4Form20.8
81.6Power26.5
4.50xG0.56
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