GGOALVIO

Brazil · Mineiro - 2 · 7/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Valeriodoce are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Villa Nova are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Valeriodoce hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Mineiro - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValeriodoceDWDWW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Villa NovaDLDLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ValeriodoceVilla Nova
27.8Attack51.1
83.3Defence62.2
58.3Form48.9
59.9Power54.5
0.69xG0.65
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