GGOALVIO

Brazil · Mineiro - 2 · 7/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Valeriodoce are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Villa Nova are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Valeriodoce hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.5% in the Mineiro - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

27.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValeriodoceDWWDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Villa NovaDLWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ValeriodoceVilla Nova
27.8Attack51.1
83.3Defence62.2
58.3Form48.9
59.9Power54.5
0.69xG0.65
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