GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 5/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sarpsborg 08 FF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valerenga are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sarpsborg 08 FF are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarpsborg 08 FF hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.0% in the Eliteserien, while Sarpsborg 08 FF holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Probability

34.0%

Model confidence

34.0%

Sarpsborg 08 FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValerengaLDLLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sarpsborg 08 FFWLLLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
47.9Attack39.6
39.6Defence56.3
41.7Form45.8
43.9Power49.6
1.34xG1.34
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