Valerengavs
Lillestrom
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 4/19/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillestrom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Valerenga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lillestrom are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lillestrom hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Eliteserien, while Lillestrom holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lillestrom
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60