Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valerenga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Valerenga are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while KFUM Oslo are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Valerenga hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Valerenga holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valerenga
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Valerenga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40