Valentinevs
Weston Bears
SCHEDULEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/16/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Valentine are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Weston Bears are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 21.0-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weston Bears
Probability
68.5%
Model confidence
9.5%
Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40