Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Valentine are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Maitland are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40