Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valentine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Valentine are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kahibah are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Valentine holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valentine
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Valentine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40