Valenciennesvs
Bourg-en-bresse 01
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bourg-en-bresse 01 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Valenciennes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bourg-en-bresse 01 hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Ligue 3, while Bourg-en-bresse 01 holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
13.5%
Bourg-en-bresse 01 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80