GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valenciennes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Valenciennes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Boulogne are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Valenciennes hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Valenciennes holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valenciennes

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Valenciennes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValenciennesWDWDL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BoulogneLWLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ValenciennesBoulogne
66.7Attack44.4
33.3Defence27.8
53.3Form27.8
54.1Power36.0
2.70xG1.53
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