Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
10%
MediumconfidenceValencia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Newcastle are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring a draw with 10.4% confidence, a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.4%
Model confidence
10.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ValenciaWWDWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NewcastleLWDWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ValenciaNewcastle
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.88xG1.60