Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valencia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Valencia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Eldense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Valencia hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 38.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Valencia holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valencia
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Valencia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80