Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Castellón · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Valencia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Castellón are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Castellón hold a 37.9-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 79.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Castellón holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Castellón
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Castellón has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00