Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
vaasa PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
vaasa PS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SJK are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and vaasa PS hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Veikkausliiga, while vaasa PS holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
vaasa PS
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
13.8%
vaasa PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60