GGOALVIO

Finland · Veikkausliiga · 7/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

vaasa PS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

vaasa PS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while IFK Mariehamn are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and vaasa PS hold a 32.9-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 21.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.1% in the Veikkausliiga, while vaasa PS holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

vaasa PS

Probability

77.1%

Model confidence

77.1%

vaasa PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

vaasa PSLDWWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
IFK MariehamnLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
vaasa PSIFK Mariehamn
46.7Attack15.8
65.0Defence28.1
50.0Form8.8
54.7Power21.8
2.39xG0.47
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