GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

V-varen Nagasaki · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

V-varen Nagasaki are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vissel Kobe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vissel Kobe hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.8% in the J1 League, while V-varen Nagasaki holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

V-varen Nagasaki

Probability

33.8%

Model confidence

33.8%

V-varen Nagasaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

V-varen NagasakiLWLWD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Vissel KobeWLDLD

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
V-varen NagasakiVissel Kobe
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
53.0Power64.8
1.25xG1.23
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