V-varen Nagasakivs
Mito Hollyhock
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 5/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
V-varen Nagasaki · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
V-varen Nagasaki are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mito Hollyhock are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and V-varen Nagasaki hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the J1 League, while V-varen Nagasaki holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
V-varen Nagasaki
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
V-varen Nagasaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40