GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

V-varen Nagasaki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

V-varen Nagasaki are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kyoto Sanga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and V-varen Nagasaki hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the J1 League, while V-varen Nagasaki holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

V-varen Nagasaki

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

V-varen Nagasaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

V-varen NagasakiWLWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kyoto SangaLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
V-varen NagasakiKyoto Sanga
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form16.7
53.0Power36.5
1.58xG1.12
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