GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/25/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

V-varen Nagasaki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

V-varen Nagasaki are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gamba Osaka are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and V-varen Nagasaki hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the J1 League, while V-varen Nagasaki holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

V-varen Nagasaki

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

12.0%

V-varen Nagasaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

V-varen NagasakiLLLWL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Gamba OsakaLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
V-varen NagasakiGamba Osaka
66.7Attack83.3
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form66.7
80.3Power64.8
1.74xG1.30
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