GGOALVIO

V-varen Nagasaki logoV-varen NagasakivsFagiano Okayama logoFagiano Okayama

COMPLETED

Japan · J1 League · 5/6/2026, 4:03:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

V-varen Nagasaki · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

V-varen Nagasaki are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fagiano Okayama are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.0 against 53.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the J1 League, while V-varen Nagasaki holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

V-varen Nagasaki

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

V-varen Nagasaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

V-varen NagasakiLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Fagiano OkayamaWDWDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
V-varen NagasakiFagiano Okayama
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power53.0
1.30xG1.11
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