Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uzwil · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Uzwil are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dietikon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Uzwil hold a 25.0-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Uzwil holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Uzwil
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Uzwil has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00