Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Utrecht W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ajax W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax W hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Eredivisie Women, while Ajax W holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajax W
Probability
82.6%
Model confidence
10.0%
Ajax W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60