Utrechtvs
V-varen Nagasaki
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utrecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Utrecht are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while V-varen Nagasaki are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Utrecht hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Utrecht holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Utrecht
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Utrecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20