Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utrecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Utrecht are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sevilla are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Utrecht hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 41.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Utrecht holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Utrecht
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Utrecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60