UTCvs
UCV Moquegua
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 7/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
UTC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while UCV Moquegua are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.3 against 41.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00