Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oţelul · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Uta Arad are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Oţelul are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Oţelul hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (28.0 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Liga I, while Oţelul holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oţelul
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Oţelul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00