Uruguay Montevideovs
Oriental
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 7/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Uruguay Montevideo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Oriental are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Oriental hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40