Uruguay Montevideovs
Fenix
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 3/15/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Uruguay Montevideo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fenix are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenix hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60