Uruguay Montevideovs
Atenas
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atenas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Uruguay Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atenas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atenas hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Segunda División, while Atenas holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atenas
Probability
34.2%
Model confidence
14.9%
Atenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20