GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atenas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Uruguay Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atenas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atenas hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Segunda División, while Atenas holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atenas

Probability

34.2%

Model confidence

14.9%

Atenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Uruguay MontevideoWWDDL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AtenasWWLLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Uruguay MontevideoAtenas
38.6Attack49.1
61.4Defence57.9
42.1Form50.9
49.4Power53.6
1.03xG1.05
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